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Saturday, August 02, 2008

Three Questions: the Veep, et al.

OK, sports fans.

1. Who does Obama pick to be his Vice-Presidential running mate?
I say NOT Hillary, because of Bill.
Not another woman, because it would be an insult to Hillary. Besides which, he couldn't pick the Arizona governor because, as Mo Rocca noted, it sounds funny: "Obama-Napolitano sounds too much like a coffee drink."
Not Bill Richardson, because I don't think having a black and Hispanic on the same ticket will play.
Which leaves us with, as Cokie Roberts said on ABC This Week last week, "some boring white guy."
While I think a governor is desirable, I'm not feeling Tim Kaine of Virginia. Nobody knows who he is. A more likely candidate would be Ed Rendell of Pennsylvania.
Ultimately, though, he may pick someone like Senator Joe Biden or Jack Reed, whose been involved in foreign policy issues for many years. Can Evan Bayh help Obama win Indiana?

2. Who does John McCain pick to be his Vice-Presidential running mate?
The idle speculation about someone in the Bush White House (Rob Portman, Condi Rice) I think is crazy.
He too needs a governor or former governor.
Lots of folks are hot on Minnesota's Tim Pawlenty, but I found him unimpressive on a Sunday morning talk show; still, McCain likes him personally.. Others have suggested Mark Sanford (South Carolina), Sarah Palin of Alaska and the far too tanned Charlie Crist of Florida, among many others. Don't discounts former governor Mitt Romney of Massachusetts, whose Michigan roots may help, even with that Mormon thing.

3. What traditional red state might turn blue, or vice versa?
My guess is Georgia, and there's only one reason: Bob Barr, a native son running as the Libertarian. If he gets 5 or 6% of the vote, it'll come out of the McCain column, and if the black voters come out, Obama could win. Much less likely: Alaska, where Barr should also do well, and disgust with an indicated Republican senator, Ted Stevens, may dampen the GOP turnout.


Ted said...

Timing on Palin announcement:

1. Several days after gasline passed in Alaska.

2. Several days before the Olympics.

3. Ideally before Obama names his Veep (especially if Obama were to name a woman or Hillary).

Hey, McCain, why not Monday (tomorrow Aug 4) and LET THE GAMES BEGIN already!!!

In any event, stand by this week!

Kathi D said...

My husband likes Wesley Clark for Obama.

For McCain, who cares, as long as it is someone who will help him lose big.